South Suffolk.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP James Cartlidge holds the seat on 33.0% of the vote.
9 Jun 2026
Rural Suffolk seat, Conservative-held, margin narrowing
South Suffolk is a rural seat in the East of England, anchored on the wool town of Sudbury but defined as much by the dispersed countryside that surrounds it. Sudbury, with some 23,600 residents, is the largest settlement, followed by a comparably sized scatter of villages and hamlets and then the smaller market town of Hadleigh. Long Melford, Glemsford and a string of peninsula villages fill out a constituency with a median age of 49 and few large centres of population. Local services fall to a single tier below the county: Babergh, a district authority, runs the seat's 24 wards.
That council has lately tilted away from the Conservatives who long dominated it. Across the most recent ward contests the Green Party and Independents have won the largest blocs, with the Conservatives third and the Liberal Democrats holding pockets in the west; a Reform UK gain in Copdock and Washbrook late in 2025 added a further variable. The parliamentary picture has loosened in parallel. James Cartlidge, the Conservative member since 2015, held the seat in 2024, but on 33 per cent against Labour's 26.7 -- a plurality well short of the 62 per cent the party took here in 2019.
The seat therefore looks more contested than its long Conservative tenure suggests, with the parliamentary margin narrowed and the local map fragmented across four or five parties. Recent coverage of Babergh has been broadly administrative in tone, dwelling on a strained budget that pairs service cuts with tax rises and on persistent friction over parking charges in the market towns. None of this has lifted the constituency's national profile, which remains low. The direction of travel is one of erosion rather than upheaval: a once-comfortable seat now holds at a reduced majority, its outcome no longer a formality.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assington | Lee Jonathan Parker | 452 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Box Vale | Bryn Hurren | 684 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Brantham | Alastair McCraw | 560 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Brett Vale | John Ward | 457 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Bures St Mary & Nayland | Isabelle Anne Lawrence Reece | 369 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Capel St Mary | John Whyman | 635 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Chadacre(2 seats) | Holt · Plumb | 1,460 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Copdock & Washbrook | Marc Peter Rowland | 323 | Babergh Grn | Oct 2025 |
| East Bergholt | Sallie Jean Davies | 546 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Ganges | Derek Stephen Davis | 310 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Great Cornard(3 seats) | Newman · Beer · Hendry | 2,012 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Hadleigh North | Simon Dowling | 230 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Hadleigh South(2 seats) | Carruthers · Grandon | 1,037 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Lavenham(2 seats) | Maybury · Clover | 1,810 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Long Melford(2 seats) | Nunn · Malvisi | 1,640 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| North West Cosford | Deborah Saw | 640 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Orwell | Daniel Grant Potter | 509 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| South East Cosford | Leigh Jamieson | 811 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Sproughton & Pinewood(2 seats) | Riley · Davies | 970 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Stour | Mary McLaren | 448 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Sudbury North East | Alison Owen | 176 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Sudbury North West(2 seats) | Carter · Regester | 1,337 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Sudbury South East | Adrian Osborne | 187 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
| Sudbury South West | Laura Smith | 414 | Babergh Grn | May 2023 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Sudbury (23,567), with Rural & dispersed (23,477) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 92,332.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Sudbury | 23,567 | town |
| Rural & dispersed | 23,477 | town |
| Hadleigh | 8,754 | town |
| Ipswich | 4,365 | city |
| Long Melford | 4,182 | village |
| Glemsford | 4,053 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 55.5% | 57.1% | -3% |
| Owner-occupied | 71.8% | 63.1% | +14% |
| Private rented | 14.8% | 20.0% | -26% |
| Social rented | 13.3% | 16.8% | -21% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £365m |
| Taxpayers | 48,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £2,990 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £7,530 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by Babergh. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| James CartlidgeWON | Con | 16,082 | 33.0 |
| Emma Bishton | Lab | 13,035 | 26.7 |
| Beverley England | Ref | 9,252 | 19.0 |
| Tom Bartleet | LD | 6,424 | 13.2 |
| Jessie Carter | Grn | 4,008 | 8.2 |
Turnout 48,801
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | James Cartlidge | Con | 62.2 |
| 2017 | James Cartlidge | Con | 60.5 |
| 2015 | James Cartlidge | Con | 53.1 |
| 2010 | Yeo, Tim | Con | 47.8 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo