Kingston & Surbiton.

Kingston and Surbiton is a south-west London seat built almost entirely around a single place. Kingston upon Thames, with a Census population of about 114,000, accounts for nearly the whole constituency; only a small fragment of Ewell, just over 1,500 people, sits outside it. The wider seat is younger than the national average, with a median age of 37, and unusually well qualified -- close to half of adults hold a degree. Local services run through one authority, the London Borough of Kingston upon Thames, which draws ten of its wards from this constituency.

Politics here has settled into a consistent shape. Across the twenty-seven most recent ward contests, every result went to the Liberal Democrats, who took back-to-back full slates in the May 2026 borough elections on turnouts that ran heavy in the larger wards. The parliamentary picture has reinforced that pattern rather than disturbed it: the Liberal Democrats won the seat in 2024 on just over half the vote, with the Conservatives a distant second on 17 per cent. The runner-up's share has more than halved since 2019, when the same two parties finished closer. The sitting member, Ed Davey, has held the seat since 2017 and registered no whipped dissent over the past three months.

On the figures available, the seat looks among the more settled in London, and recent local reporting has carried a flat, administrative character, weighted towards budget-setting, council housing and community matters rather than conflict. The main jar to that picture is crime: shoplifting appears to run around double the constituency average, while anti-social behaviour, vehicle crime and recorded drug offences each sit some three-quarters or more above it. Even so, the broad direction of travel points to continuity rather than contest, and the burden of evidence rests with anyone arguing the seat is in flux.