Vale of Glamorgan.
Labour Party MP Kanishka Narayan holds the seat on 38.7% of the vote.
9 Jun 2026
Barry-dominated coastal seat, 2024 Labour gain
The Vale of Glamorgan is a coastal seat in south Wales built around a single dominant town. Barry, with some 53,000 residents, accounts for more than half the constituency's population; beyond it the seat thins into smaller towns and villages -- Rhoose, Llantwit Major, Cowbridge -- and a substantial rural and dispersed remainder. The population skews slightly older than the national figure, with a median age of 43, and is overwhelmingly White at just over 95 per cent. A single Welsh unitary authority, the Vale of Glamorgan Council, runs local services across all 17 of the seat's wards.
That single-council structure makes the ward map a clean read on local politics, and Labour holds the larger share of recent contests, ahead of the Conservatives, with Plaid Cymru and a cluster of independents accounting for much of the rest. Most of those wards last went to the polls in 2022; a more recent by-election in the Illtyd ward fell to Reform UK, a signal worth noting rather than weighting heavily on one contest. At Westminster the seat changed hands in 2024, when Labour took it on 38.7 per cent from the Conservatives on 29.5 per cent, reversing a comfortable Conservative win in 2019. Kanishka Narayan, elected for Labour that year, has shown no whipped dissent in recent months.
The seat therefore reads as recently won rather than long-settled, a 2024 Labour gain whose underlying ward picture remains mixed and whose Reform showing bears watching. Recent local coverage has had a routine, administrative character -- council budgets, recycling and community provision rather than controversy. On the figures available the constituency sits among the more contested places in the country, its direction not yet fixed.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baruc(3 seats) | Hooper · Hodges · Wiliam | 3,218 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Buttrills(2 seats) | Johnson · Lloyd-Selby | 1,284 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Cadoc(4 seats) | Iannucci · Goodjohn · Ball · Payne | 4,354 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Castleland(2 seats) | Collins · Drake | 996 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Court(2 seats) | Brooks · Perkes | 971 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Cowbridge(3 seats) | Champion · Wood · Fisher | 3,039 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Dyfan(2 seats) | Loveluck-Edwards · Goodjohn | 1,514 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Gibbonsdown(2 seats) | Aviet · Wilkinson | 1,274 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Illtyd | Brandon William Dodd | 729 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | Sept 2025 |
| Llandow | Christine Ann Cave | 466 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Llantwit Major(4 seats) | Williams · John · Norman · Hanks | 6,705 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Peterston-super-Ely | Michael Morgan | 486 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Rhoose(3 seats) | Bruce · Campbell · Hennessy | 2,647 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| St Athan(2 seats) | Lynch-Wilson · Haines | 958 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| St Bride's Major(2 seats) | Stallard · Protheroe | 1,499 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| St Nicholas and Llancarfan | Ian Anthony Neil Perry | 460 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
| Wenvoe | Russell Edward Godfrey | 602 | Vale of Glamorgan Lab | May 2022 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Barry (Vale of Glamorgan) (53,370), with Rural & dispersed (12,841) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 94,394.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Barry (Vale of Glamorgan) | 53,370 | large town |
| Rural & dispersed | 12,841 | town |
| Rhoose | 7,520 | town |
| Eglwys-Brewis | 4,284 | village |
| Llantwit Major | 4,185 | village |
| Cowbridge | 3,246 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 55.6% | 57.1% | -3% |
| Owner-occupied | 70.7% | 63.1% | +12% |
| Private rented | 16.0% | 20.0% | -20% |
| Social rented | 13.3% | 16.8% | -21% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £276m |
| Taxpayers | 50,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £2,850 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £5,570 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by Vale of Glamorgan. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kanishka NarayanWON | Lab | 17,740 | 38.7 |
| Alun Cairns | Con | 13,524 | 29.5 |
| Toby Rhodes-Matthews | Ref | 6,973 | 15.2 |
| Ian Johnson | Plaid | 3,245 | 7.1 |
| Lynden Mack | Grn | 1,881 | 4.1 |
| Steven Rajam | LD | 1,612 | 3.5 |
| Stuart Field | Ind | 669 | 1.5 |
| Steven Sluman | Ind | 182 | 0.4 |
Turnout 45,826
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Alun Cairns | Con | 49.8 |
| 2017 | Alun Cairns | Con | 47.5 |
| 2015 | Alun Cairns | Con | 46.0 |
| 2010 | Cairns, Alun | Con | 41.8 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo