The placeConstituency · Wales · Electorate 74,465 · 2023 boundaries

Vale of Glamorgan.

Labour Party MP Kanishka Narayan holds the seat on 38.7% of the vote.

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Member of ParliamentKanishka Narayan · Labour Party
CouncilVale of Glamorgan
Boundary set2023
ONS codeW07000110
Electorate · 2024
74.5k
Registered to vote
2024 GE — winner
38.7%
Labour Party · +9.2pp over Con
Settlements
10
Largest: Barry (Vale of Glamorgan)
Crime · per 1k pop · 3mo
16.7
data.police.uk · 12mo rolling
Dispatch
9 Jun 2026

Barry-dominated coastal seat, 2024 Labour gain

The Vale of Glamorgan is a coastal seat in south Wales built around a single dominant town. Barry, with some 53,000 residents, accounts for more than half the constituency's population; beyond it the seat thins into smaller towns and villages -- Rhoose, Llantwit Major, Cowbridge -- and a substantial rural and dispersed remainder. The population skews slightly older than the national figure, with a median age of 43, and is overwhelmingly White at just over 95 per cent. A single Welsh unitary authority, the Vale of Glamorgan Council, runs local services across all 17 of the seat's wards.

That single-council structure makes the ward map a clean read on local politics, and Labour holds the larger share of recent contests, ahead of the Conservatives, with Plaid Cymru and a cluster of independents accounting for much of the rest. Most of those wards last went to the polls in 2022; a more recent by-election in the Illtyd ward fell to Reform UK, a signal worth noting rather than weighting heavily on one contest. At Westminster the seat changed hands in 2024, when Labour took it on 38.7 per cent from the Conservatives on 29.5 per cent, reversing a comfortable Conservative win in 2019. Kanishka Narayan, elected for Labour that year, has shown no whipped dissent in recent months.

The seat therefore reads as recently won rather than long-settled, a 2024 Labour gain whose underlying ward picture remains mixed and whose Reform showing bears watching. Recent local coverage has had a routine, administrative character -- council budgets, recycling and community provision rather than controversy. On the figures available the constituency sits among the more contested places in the country, its direction not yet fixed.

38.7%
Lab vote · 2024 GE
1
Council overlapping the seat
17
Wards · 36 councillors
§ 01The local picture — wards.17 wards · 36 councillors

Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.

WardLatest winnerVotesCouncilLast cycle
Baruc(3 seats)Hooper · Hodges · Wiliam3,218Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Buttrills(2 seats)Johnson · Lloyd-Selby1,284Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Cadoc(4 seats)Iannucci · Goodjohn · Ball · Payne4,354Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Castleland(2 seats)Collins · Drake996Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Court(2 seats)Brooks · Perkes971Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Cowbridge(3 seats)Champion · Wood · Fisher3,039Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Dyfan(2 seats)Loveluck-Edwards · Goodjohn1,514Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Gibbonsdown(2 seats)Aviet · Wilkinson1,274Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Illtyd Brandon William Dodd729Vale of Glamorgan LabSept 2025
Llandow Christine Ann Cave466Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Llantwit Major(4 seats)Williams · John · Norman · Hanks6,705Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Peterston-super-Ely Michael Morgan486Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Rhoose(3 seats)Bruce · Campbell · Hennessy2,647Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
St Athan(2 seats)Lynch-Wilson · Haines958Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
St Bride's Major(2 seats)Stallard · Protheroe1,499Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
St Nicholas and Llancarfan Ian Anthony Neil Perry460Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022
Wenvoe Russell Edward Godfrey602Vale of Glamorgan LabMay 2022

Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)

§ 02Settlements.10 named places

The seat’s population is concentrated in Barry (Vale of Glamorgan) (53,370), with Rural & dispersed (12,841) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 94,394.

large-town 53,370town 20,361village 20,663

Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021

SettlementPop.Class
Barry (Vale of Glamorgan)53,370large town
Rural & dispersed12,841town
Rhoose7,520town
Eglwys-Brewis4,284village
Llantwit Major4,185village
Cowbridge3,246village
Showing 6 of 10·All 10 settlements
§ 03Demographics.Census 2021 · vs national avg

Headline indicators.

IndicatorLocalNationalΔ
Employment rate55.6%57.1%-3%
Owner-occupied70.7%63.1%+12%
Private rented16.0%20.0%-20%
Social rented13.3%16.8%-21%

Ethnicity.

White95.2%
Asian1.8%
Black0.4%
Mixed2.1%
Other0.5%

Source · Census 2021

Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Male 48.2% Female 51.8% Median seat
MaleAgeFemale
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
16-19
10-15
5-9
0-4

Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band

§ 04Local economy.Income · tax · businesses · schools
Median income
£28,200
HMRC SPI · 2024
Mean income
£36,800
HMRC SPI · 2024
Businesses
3,115
VAT/PAYE-registered
Schools
40
0 primary · 0 secondary

Income tax contribution.

Total income tax£276m
Taxpayers50,000
Median per taxpayer£2,850
Mean per taxpayer£5,570

Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence

Where the money flows back in.

For council finance & suppliers

This constituency is served by Vale of Glamorgan. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.

For household tax breakdown

Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.

§ 05Recorded crime.data.police.uk · 12-month rolling

Headline rate.

Per 1k pop · 3mo
16.7
-19% vs national
Monthly avg / 1k
5.6
12-month rolling
Top category
Violence & sexual offences
39% of recorded crime

By category.

Violence & sexual offences6.5
Shoplifting2.3
Public order2.0
Anti-social behaviour1.5
Other theft1.2
Criminal damage & arson1.1
Other crime0.6

Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop

Showing 7 of 15·All 15 categories — full monthly trend & settlement breakdown
§ 06Election history.5 contests · created on 2023 boundaries

2024 — full result.

CandidateVotes%
Kanishka NarayanWONLab17,74038.7
Alun CairnsCon13,52429.5
Toby Rhodes-MatthewsRef6,97315.2
Ian JohnsonPlaid3,2457.1
Lynden MackGrn1,8814.1
Steven RajamLD1,6123.5
Stuart FieldInd6691.5
Steven SlumanInd1820.4

Turnout 45,826

Prior contests.

YearWinner%
2019Alun CairnsCon49.8
2017Alun CairnsCon47.5
2015Alun CairnsCon46.0
2010Cairns, AlunCon41.8
Sources, methods & last update
Method The dispatch paragraphs are AI-generated from the public sources listed below. Every figure links to its source. If we’re wrong, please tell us — corrections within 48 hours.
BoundariesONS Open Geography Portal
2023 boundary review
Wards & councilsLGBCE · Democracy Club
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
SettlementsONS Built-Up Areas
Census 2021
DemographicsONS · Nomis · Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
Income & taxHMRC SPI
±8% confidence
SchoolsDfE · attainment data
Crimedata.police.uk
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo
ElectionsElectoral Commission