Sleaford & North Hykeham.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP Caroline Johnson holds the seat on 35.7% of the vote.
9 Jun 2026
Lincolnshire market towns, Conservative-held but narrowing
Sleaford and North Hykeham is a Lincolnshire seat in the East Midlands, spread across a network of market towns and a wide rural hinterland rather than dominated by a single centre. Sleaford holds around 16,000 people, with North Hykeham close behind on the Lincoln fringe and a comparable share living in villages such as Washingborough, Ruskington and Branston. The population is older than the national figure, with a median age of 46, overwhelmingly White, and below the national rate for degree-level education. One body runs local services across all twenty of the constituency's wards: North Kesteven District Council, a district authority.
Politically the area leans Conservative, though the ground beneath that lean has shifted. Across recent ward contests the Conservatives took the largest share, roughly half, but a substantial bloc fell to Lincolnshire Independents and unaffiliated independents, and a March 2026 by-election in Sleaford Westholme went to Reform UK. At the 2024 general election the Conservatives held the seat on 35.7 per cent to Labour's 26.8, a margin far narrower than the 67 per cent the party recorded here in 2019. Caroline Johnson, the Conservative MP since 2016, has shown no whipped dissent in recent months.
The seat remains Conservative-held but no longer comfortably so, the fall from a two-thirds share to a single-figure margin and a fragmented local field pulling the same way. Recent local coverage has had a broadly constructive, administrative character, weighted toward town-centre redevelopment and ordinary council business rather than controversy. On the figures available the seat reads as competitive rather than settled, its challenge spread across more than one rival.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashby de la Launde, Digby & Scopwick | Amelia Anne Bailey | 307 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Bassingham Rural | Mary Louise Green | 470 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Billinghay Rural | Adrian Michael Whittle | 354 | North Kesteven Con | Dec 2023 |
| Branston(2 seats) | Turner · Lundgren | 1,597 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Heighington & Washingborough(3 seats) | Goodwin · Carrington · Harrington | 2,556 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Hykeham Central(3 seats) | Pessol · Clarke · Roe | 2,788 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Hykeham Fosse(2 seats) | Lofts · Little | 839 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Hykeham Memorial | Nikki Dillon | 252 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Kirkby la Thorpe & South Kyme | Mervyn Paul Head | 497 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Metheringham Rural(2 seats) | Parry · Pembery | 1,313 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Ruskington(2 seats) | Waldeck · Wright | 1,639 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Skellingthorpe & Eagle(2 seats) | Goldson · Johnston | 1,435 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Sleaford Castle | Linda Edwards-Shea | 199 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Sleaford Holdingham | Robert Arthur Oates | 280 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Sleaford Navigation | David Suiter | 354 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Sleaford Quarrington & Mareham(3 seats) | Oldershaw · Allan · Smith | 1,846 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Sleaford Westholme | Sandy Buchanan | 243 | North Kesteven Con | Mar 2026 |
| Waddington Rural(3 seats) | Pennell · Sanders · Cooper | 2,194 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Witham St Hughs & Swinderby(2 seats) | Overton · Elliott | 1,158 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Sleaford (16,267), with Rural & dispersed (15,430) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 96,355.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Sleaford | 16,267 | town |
| Rural & dispersed | 15,430 | town |
| North Hykeham | 15,376 | town |
| Washingborough and Heighington | 7,088 | town |
| Ruskington | 5,650 | town |
| Witham St Hughs | 3,650 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 58.3% | 57.1% | +2% |
| Owner-occupied | 74.4% | 63.1% | +18% |
| Private rented | 15.9% | 20.0% | -20% |
| Social rented | 9.5% | 16.8% | -43% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £270m |
| Taxpayers | 54,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £2,830 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £5,020 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by North Kesteven. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline JohnsonWON | Con | 17,348 | 35.7 |
| Hanif Khan | Lab | 13,002 | 26.8 |
| Benjamin Jackson | Ref | 10,484 | 21.6 |
| Robert Oates | Ind | 3,032 | 6.2 |
| Martin Blake | Grn | 2,435 | 5.0 |
| Matthew Winnington | LD | 2,264 | 4.7 |
Turnout 48,565
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Caroline Johnson | Con | 67.1 |
| 2017 | Caroline Johnson | Con | 64.2 |
| 2016 | Caroline Johnson | Con | 53.5 |
| 2015 | Stephen Phillips | Con | 56.2 |
| 2010 | Phillips, Stephen | Con | 51.6 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo