Ribble Valley.
Labour Party MP Maya Ellis holds the seat on 34.9% of the vote — a split-council geography across 3 councils.
9 Jun 2026
Three-council Lancashire seat, knife-edge marginal since 2024
Ribble Valley is a North West seat of small towns and open country, redrawn on the 2023 boundaries to take in roughly 104,585 residents with a median age of 46 and an unusually settled demographic profile -- some 90 per cent White and close to two-fifths degree-educated. No single town dominates. Bamber Bridge is the largest built-up area with around 27,000 people, followed by Fulwood at some 15,000, then a wide rural and dispersed population and the market town of Longridge, with villages such as Grimsargh, Whalley and Cottam filling out the rest. Three district authorities run local services across the seat -- Ribble Valley, which contributes the largest share of wards, alongside South Ribble and Preston -- a split that makes this a constituency stitched together from several local-government patches rather than one civic centre.
That patchwork shows in the ward results. Across the most recent contests the Conservatives lead narrowly on seats won, with Labour close behind and the Liberal Democrats and Reform UK each taking a small number; the latest 2026 rounds in the Preston-area wards in particular went to the Liberal Democrats and Reform, suggesting the field has broadened rather than settled. The parliamentary picture is finer still. Labour took the seat in 2024 on 34.9 per cent, edging the Conservatives on 33.3 -- a margin of barely a point and a half, on boundaries the Conservatives had held with more than 60 per cent in 2019. Maya Ellis has represented it for Labour since, with no whipped dissent on record in recent months.
The direction of travel, then, is towards contest rather than consolidation: a seat that swung hard in 2024 but on the narrowest of margins, with the local vote fragmenting four ways. Recent local coverage has had a largely administrative tenor, turning on council-services questions -- parking, repairs, the wider reshaping of Lancashire local government -- rather than anything that has lifted the seat's national profile. On the figures available the constituency reads as genuinely marginal and in flux, its allegiances held loosely across three councils and a scatter of towns.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston & Hothersall(2 seats) | Rogerson · Clark | 668 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2019 |
| Bamber Bridge East(2 seats) | Stevens · Hunter | 1,104 | South Ribble Lab | May 2023 |
| Bamber Bridge West | David William Bollenberg | 253 | South Ribble Lab | Oct 2024 |
| Billington & Langho(2 seats) | Farmer · Austin | 873 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Bowland | Rosie Elms | 0 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2019 |
| Brockhall & Dinckley | Stephen Alexis Atkinson | 315 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Chipping | Simon Hore | 293 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Clayton-le-Dale & Salesbury | Louise Edge | 391 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2019 |
| Coupe Green & Gregson Lane(2 seats) | Gleeson · Forshaw | 1,151 | South Ribble Lab | May 2023 |
| Derby & Thornley(2 seats) | Spencer · Ray | 736 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Dilworth(2 seats) | Jameson · Stubbs | 823 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Gisburn & Rimington | Charles William Hamish McFall | 203 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Greyfriars | Fiona Duke | 1,258 | Preston LD | May 2026 |
| Hurst Green & Whitewell | Jan Alcock | 208 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Lostock Hall(3 seats) | Stringfellow · Pritchard · Gabbott | 2,644 | South Ribble Lab | May 2023 |
| Mellor(2 seats) | Walsh · Brunskill | 969 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Preston Rural East | Daniel Paul Nuttall | 1,172 | Preston LD | May 2026 |
| Preston Rural North | Stephen Geoffrey Thompson | 983 | Preston LD | May 2026 |
| Ribchester | Karl Barnsley | 276 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Samlesbury & Walton(2 seats) | Gleave · Mullineaux | 1,202 | South Ribble Lab | May 2023 |
| Sharoe Green | Jack Singh | 975 | Preston LD | May 2026 |
| Waddington, Bashall Eaves & Mitton | Sophie Cowman | 212 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Walton-le-Dale East(2 seats) | Lomax · Bedford | 1,406 | South Ribble Lab | May 2023 |
| Walton-le-Dale West(2 seats) | Bretherton · Campbell | 1,165 | South Ribble Lab | May 2023 |
| West Bradford & Grindleton | Kevin Horkin | 293 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Whalley Nethertown | Aaron Oghenevwede Wilkins-Odudu | 137 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
| Wilpshire & Ramsgreave(2 seats) | Hirst · Bibby | 941 | Ribble Valley Con | May 2023 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Bamber Bridge (27,168), with Fulwood (15,354) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 98,908.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Bamber Bridge | 27,168 | large town |
| Fulwood | 15,354 | large town |
| Rural & dispersed | 10,814 | town |
| Longridge (Ribble Valley) | 8,720 | town |
| Blackburn (Blackburn with Darwen) | 3,569 | city |
| Grimsargh | 2,801 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 59.6% | 57.1% | +4% |
| Owner-occupied | 80.7% | 63.1% | +28% |
| Private rented | 13.4% | 20.0% | -33% |
| Social rented | 6.0% | 16.8% | -64% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £351m |
| Taxpayers | 59,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £2,850 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £5,960 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by Ribble Valley, South Ribble and Preston. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maya EllisWON | Lab | 18,177 | 34.9 |
| Nigel Evans | Con | 17,321 | 33.3 |
| John Carroll | Ref | 8,524 | 16.4 |
| John Potter | LD | 5,001 | 9.6 |
| Caroline Montague | Grn | 1,727 | 3.3 |
| Qasim Ajmi | Ind | 1,273 | 2.5 |
Turnout 52,023
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Nigel Evans | Con | 60.3 |
| 2017 | Nigel Evans | Con | 57.8 |
| 2015 | Nigel Evans | Con | 48.6 |
| 2010 | Evans, Nigel | Con | 50.3 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo