Isle of Wight East.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP Joe Robertson holds the seat on 30.6% of the vote.
9 Jun 2026
Eastern island resort towns, Conservative-held, Reform-watching
Isle of Wight East gathers the island's eastern coastal towns into a single seat of around 69,600 people, older than the national norm with a median age of 53 and only about a quarter degree-educated. It is a network of seaside towns rather than one dominant centre: Ryde anchors the north with roughly 24,000 residents, a third of the seat, followed by the resort towns of Sandown, Shanklin and Ventnor strung along the south-east coast, with smaller villages such as Bembridge, Wootton and Brading filling the gaps. Local services across all twenty wards are run by a single body, Isle of Wight Council, a unitary authority covering the whole island.
The ward map has shifted sharply. Across the twenty most recent contests, held in May 2026, Reform UK took twelve wards, concentrated in Ryde, Sandown and Shanklin, with independents and the Liberal Democrats sharing most of the remainder and the Conservatives reduced to a single ward at Ventnor. That marks a clear realignment away from the older Conservative and independent pattern, though no group commands an outright majority on the council. The parliamentary picture is more finely balanced: in 2024, the first General Election on these boundaries, the Conservatives won the seat on 30.6 per cent, with Reform UK runner-up on 20.9 per cent, a margin of under ten points. The sitting member, Joe Robertson, has held the seat since 2024.
The seat now reads as genuinely contested rather than settled. Council politics has tipped towards a no-overall-control chamber in which Reform UK is the largest force, and recent local coverage has centred on that reshaped balance and on routine matters of regeneration and the seafront economy rather than on any single controversy. The gap between a Conservative-held parliamentary seat and a council ward map dominated by newer entrants is the defining tension here, and on the figures available the direction of travel points to flux rather than consolidation around any one party.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bembridge | Mark Rochell | 643 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Binstead & Fishbourne | Ian William Dore | 894 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Brading & St Helens | Jonathan Francis Bacon | 780 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Haylands & Swanmore | Les Kirkby | 437 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Lake North | Bill Nigh | 421 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Lake South | Ros Freeman | 517 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Nettlestone & Seaview | Jules Hayward | 542 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Newchurch, Havenstreet & Ashey | Tony Barry | 638 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Ryde Appley & Elmfield | Michael Lilley | 781 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Ryde Monktonmead | Karen Theresa Lucioni | 404 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Ryde North West | Reuben Loake | 401 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Ryde South East | Chris Way | 223 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Ryde West | Owen Potter | 355 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Sandown North | Robert Sean Newton | 419 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Sandown South | Frank Baldry | 358 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Shanklin Central | Stephen Charles Reynolds | 356 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Shanklin South | David John Llewellyn | 526 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Ventnor & St Lawrence | Ed Blake | 627 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Wootton Bridge | Tony Raffe | 485 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
| Wroxall, Lowtherville & Bonchurch | Mark Jefferies | 621 | Isle of Wight Ref | May 2026 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Ryde (24,009), with Sandown (12,105) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 69,627.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Ryde | 24,009 | town |
| Sandown | 12,105 | town |
| Shanklin | 9,123 | town |
| Ventnor | 5,566 | town |
| Rural & dispersed | 4,178 | village |
| Bembridge | 3,561 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 46.1% | 57.1% | -19% |
| Owner-occupied | 68.0% | 63.1% | +8% |
| Private rented | 21.7% | 20.0% | +9% |
| Social rented | 10.2% | 16.8% | -39% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £123m |
| Taxpayers | 32,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £1,900 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £3,820 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by Isle of Wight. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe RobertsonWON | Con | 10,427 | 30.6 |
| Sarah Morris | Ref | 7,104 | 20.9 |
| Vix Lowthion | Grn | 6,313 | 18.5 |
| Emily Brothers | Lab | 6,264 | 18.4 |
| Michael Lilley | LD | 3,550 | 10.4 |
| David Groocock | Ind | 420 | 1.2 |
Turnout 34,078
Prior contests.
Created on the 2023 boundary review. 2024 General Election was the first contest on these boundaries.
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo