Clwyd North.

Clwyd North is a coastal seat in north-east Wales, anchored by two large towns of similar size: Colwyn Bay, with roughly 28,000 people, and Rhyl, with roughly 26,000, which together hold more than half the constituency. Below them sit a cluster of smaller towns -- Kinmel Bay, Abergele and Denbigh -- and a scatter of villages including St Asaph and Rhuddlan, giving the seat the character of a network of settlements rather than one dominant centre. The population of around 98,000 is older than average, with a median age of 47, and is overwhelmingly White. Local services are split across two Welsh unitary councils, Denbighshire and Conwy, with the seat drawing thirteen wards from the former and eleven from the latter -- a genuine two-council division that shapes how the area is governed.

That fragmentation carries into the ward map, where no single party dominates. Across the most recent contests, independents and Labour have each taken the largest share of wards, with the Conservatives close behind and Plaid Cymru, the Liberal Democrats and the Greens picking up the remainder. Many of these results date to the 2022 Welsh local elections, so the picture is several years old and turnouts in the Rhyl wards have tended to run low. At Westminster the seat is newer still: created on 2023 boundaries, it was first contested in 2024, when Labour's Gill German won on 35.5% of the vote, less than three points clear of the Conservative runner-up on 32.7%. On those figures the seat looks marginal rather than settled.

For now the constituency sits among the more contested in the region, won on a slim margin and resting on an ageing local mandate. Recent coverage has been dominated by regeneration funding and how it is shared between the area's towns, with a markedly administrative tenor and some friction over which communities are judged most in need. Against that backdrop the crime figures stand out: violence and sexual offences appear to run well above the comparable constituency average, with anti-social behaviour and criminal damage also elevated. The combination of a fresh, narrow Labour win and an older, fractured council base leaves the seat looking open rather than safe.