Chingford & Woodford Green.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP Iain Duncan Smith holds the seat on 35.6% of the vote — a split-council geography across 2 councils.
9 Jun 2026
Two-borough London suburb, Conservative-leaning but contested
Chingford and Woodford Green sits in north-east London, a suburban seat of some 121,000 residents with a median age of 39 and a degree-educated share of about two in five. It is split across two London borough authorities: Waltham Forest, which holds the larger part of the seat and roughly two-thirds of its population, and Redbridge to the east, which accounts for the remainder. The built-up areas of both boroughs dominate, with only a small dispersed fringe; this is a seat of streets and suburbs rather than towns or open country. Around three in five residents are recorded as White in the Census, below the London norm.
The local political picture leans Conservative at ward level. Of the nineteen most-recent ward contests across the seat, contested in May 2026, the Conservatives took sixteen and Labour three, with Labour's wins clustered in the Churchfields area. Turnouts varied widely between wards. The parliamentary contest tells a tighter story: the Conservatives held the seat in 2024 on 35.6 per cent, with Labour the runner-up on 25.8 per cent -- a margin that, on the figures available, has widened since 2019, when the two parties finished within three points of each other. The sitting MP, Iain Duncan Smith, has represented the area since 1992.
The seat appears Conservative-leaning but not settled, with recent coverage dominated by May's borough elections and shifting control across both councils. Vehicle crime stands out, running well above the local average, alongside higher recorded burglary and drug offences. The broader direction-of-travel looks contested rather than safe.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridge(3 seats) | Joiner · Moseley · Adams | 3,959 | Redbridge Lab | May 2026 |
| Chingford Green(3 seats) | Isa · Summers · Goldie | 7,583 | Waltham Forest Grn | May 2026 |
| Churchfields(3 seats) | Williams · Garfield · Duddridge | 5,069 | Redbridge Lab | May 2026 |
| Endlebury(2 seats) | Best · Berg | 3,404 | Waltham Forest Grn | May 2026 |
| Hatch Lane & Highams Park North(3 seats) | Adam · Wing · Ali | 5,209 | Waltham Forest Grn | May 2026 |
| Monkhams(2 seats) | Vasey · Herga | 4,027 | Redbridge Lab | May 2026 |
| Valley(3 seats) | Akram · Hemsted · Garrett | 4,822 | Waltham Forest Grn | May 2026 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Waltham Forest (72,428), with Redbridge (37,778) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 111,962.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Waltham Forest | 72,428 | city |
| Redbridge | 37,778 | city |
| Rural & dispersed | 1,756 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 60.8% | 57.1% | +7% |
| Owner-occupied | 64.5% | 63.1% | +2% |
| Private rented | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0% |
| Social rented | 15.3% | 16.8% | -9% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £531m |
| Taxpayers | 60,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £3,750 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £8,910 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by Waltham Forest and Redbridge. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Duncan SmithWON | Con | 17,281 | 35.6 |
| Shama Tatler | Lab | 12,524 | 25.8 |
| Faiza Shaheen | Ind | 12,445 | 25.6 |
| Paul Luggeri | Ref | 3,653 | 7.5 |
| Chris Brody | Grn | 1,334 | 2.8 |
| Josh Hadley | LD | 1,275 | 2.6 |
Turnout 48,512
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Iain Duncan Smith | Con | 48.5 |
| 2017 | Iain Duncan Smith | Con | 49.1 |
| 2015 | Iain Duncan Smith | Con | 47.9 |
| 2010 | Duncan Smith, Iain | Con | 52.8 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo